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Last night in Oakland the Blue Jays lost 3 – 1 but today is a different story all together with Roy Halladay pitching for Toronto. Last night Burnett was pitching and together with 3 pitchers from their bull pen they struck out 12 batters while Burnett had 10 of those strike outs. This will indicate that this game will go under at 6 – 2 – 1 last 9 games.
Roy Halladay has been out standing this year winning his last 2 games and has an earn run average almost under 3 at 3.11. His 8 quality starts out of 10 leads the Major Leagues and with his 3 complete games we don’t see how he can lose.
Roy is on a two game winning streak and when that happens he has a record over all of 7 wins and 7 loses his next start but has an impressive 6 – 0 as of late his opponent Rich Harden has only 3 starts to his record this season.
Roy’s last start was 9 days ago for most pitches this would be a huge handicap. For Roy though it seems that he does much better with rest. Even though we have very few stats when Roy goes this far with out pitching in 2005 almost the exact same thing happened. He was on 9 days rest on May 29 th 2005 when he struck out 10 and pitched a complete game.
We expect more of the same today with Toronto winning at -110 an excellent investment.
MINNESOTA +110 over Detroit – Yesterday, the Twins got to 500 on the
season by beating the Tigers 11-1. This result indicates a play on
Minnesota . The Twins are a nice 20-8 at home when their opponent is
seeking immediate revenge for a 5+ run loss and the Tigers are only 13-22
on the road after a 5+ run loss.
In Baker’s last start, the Twins were down 5-2 to the Rangers when Baker
left the game. However, their offense came storming back to win 12-6,
rescuing Baker and maintaining his perfect record this season. Some may
cite his below-average performance in his last start as a reason to play
against him here. However, the Twins starters have a long record of
rewarding their offense when they come through. Indeed, the Twins are an
amazing 12-2 at home when they came back from a deficit to win in their
starter's last start – including a perfect 5-0 as a DOG.
In Verlander’s six starts this season, the Tigers are 1-5, being outscored
7.3 to 3.2 runs per game. On the road, the Tigers have lost 0-7 and 1-11
with Verlander. And we’re the dog? Grab this price.
FORECAST: MINNESOTA 7 Detroit 2
4’-Star San Diego at Florida OVER 8 runs – The Padres have lost two
straight and are looking for Jake Peavy to end their slide. This is not a
spot to expect a low-scoring game. San Diego is 14-2-1 OU when Peavy
starts as a 140+ favorite and they lost their last two games.
In yesterday’s game, the Marlins beat the Padres 6-4, while only allowing
seven hits and one walk. This very strongly indicates a high-scoring
affair here. The Marlins are 20-2 OU after a win in which their opponent
left fewer than 10 men on base and it is not the first game of a series –
including 1-0 this season. If we add the stipulation that the Marlins are
not a 150+ favorite, this trend tightens up to 17-0. We expect both teams
to put at least four runs on the board and this means it must go over this
number.
These Marlins have only had four games this season in which the total was
less than 9. Those games are 4-0 OU, eclipsing the total by an average of
5.6 runs per game!! Take the OVER!
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